Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000901 0.000936 0.000971 0.001009 0.001049 0.001091 0.001137
2025-09-28 0.000835 0.000885 0.000937 0.000996 0.001061 0.001130 0.001211
2025-10-05 0.000766 0.000824 0.000887 0.000959 0.001041 0.001132 0.001240
2025-10-12 0.000730 0.000796 0.000869 0.000955 0.001055 0.001168 0.001308
2025-10-19 0.000701 0.000773 0.000854 0.000951 0.001067 0.001202 0.001374
2025-10-26 0.000674 0.000750 0.000837 0.000944 0.001073 0.001227 0.001428
2025-11-02 0.000655 0.000736 0.000829 0.000945 0.001089 0.001264 0.001497
2025-11-09 0.000632 0.000715 0.000812 0.000935 0.001090 0.001281 0.001543
2025-11-16 0.000612 0.000697 0.000797 0.000926 0.001089 0.001296 0.001585
2025-11-23 0.000605 0.000694 0.000800 0.000939 0.001118 0.001350 0.001681
2025-11-30 0.000593 0.000685 0.000795 0.000941 0.001133 0.001384 0.001752
2025-12-07 0.000576 0.000668 0.000780 0.000930 0.001129 0.001393 0.001787
2025-12-14 0.000558 0.000651 0.000764 0.000916 0.001121 0.001397 0.001816
2025-12-21 0.000545 0.000638 0.000753 0.000910 0.001123 0.001415 0.001866
2025-12-28 0.000522 0.000613 0.000726 0.000880 0.001092 0.001384 0.001842
2026-01-04 0.000512 0.000604 0.000719 0.000877 0.001098 0.001406 0.001899
2026-01-11 0.000502 0.000595 0.000712 0.000875 0.001104 0.001428 0.001957
2026-01-18 0.000492 0.000585 0.000703 0.000868 0.001103 0.001441 0.002000
2026-01-25 0.000485 0.000579 0.000700 0.000870 0.001114 0.001470 0.002073
2026-02-01 0.000474 0.000569 0.000690 0.000861 0.001110 0.001477 0.002109
2026-02-08 0.000465 0.000559 0.000680 0.000853 0.001106 0.001483 0.002142
2026-02-15 0.000463 0.000559 0.000684 0.000864 0.001132 0.001537 0.002263
2026-02-22 0.000458 0.000555 0.000682 0.000867 0.001143 0.001569 0.002347